Economic data support a Fed pause as inflation stays elevated, labor markets cool, and interest rates remain higher into early 2026.

December jobs data shows the labor market cooling without recession risk, reinforcing a Fed pause as attention shifts to inflation trends.

New labor and inflation data show economic cooling, raising the likelihood of faster Fed easing and lower long-term interest rates into 2026.

New labor and inflation data show economic cooling, raising the likelihood of faster Fed easing and lower long-term interest rates into 2026.

The Sullivan Report analyzes the post-2026 IIJA replacement, outlining four policy scenarios and their implications for U.S. cement demand, infrastructure spending, and market risk.

Explore alternative baseline, optimistic, and pessimistic economic scenarios as explored by The Sullivan Report in its Alternative U.S. Economic Cement Outlook: Fall/Winter 2025.

The Sullivan Report’s Fall/Winter 2025 Economic Forecast reveals weaker demand, elevated inflation, and unresolved labor and federal funding challenges – potentially heightening risks and slowing construction recovery into late 2026.

The 2025 federal government shutdown ended after six weeks with a short-term funding deal - through Jan. 2026 - delaying key issues but causing modest GDP and construction funding impacts.